AUD/USD ANALYSIS &TALKING POINTS
- Can AUD get better some losses as we shut off the week?
- Jackson Gap in focus subsequent week.
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP
The Australian dollarextended it’s weekly losses on Friday with out indicators of a reprieve stemming from a stronger U.S. dollar and weaker than anticipated Australian labor knowledge. Subsequent week we now have Australian PMI knowledge which has been on the decline on each manufacturing and companies fronts as excessive inflation and a slowdown in world demand hampered each segments, so will probably be fascinating to see whether or not the downward development continues or not. Later within the week, the Jackson Gap Symposium will dominate markets as to the directional bias of the Federal Reserve after an underwhelming FOMC Minutes launch earlier this week.
Supply: DailyFX economic calendar
AUD/USD DAILY CHART
Chart ready by Warren Venketas, IG
AUD/USD price action is heading for a key inflection level as bears take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) trendline assist (inexperienced). A break beneath might spur additional Aussie weak point coinciding with a possible bearish crossover (blue) between the 20-day EMA and 50-day EMA respectively. This being mentioned, I imagine the greenback will take a breather and permit for some respite for AUD bulls.
Key resistance ranges:
- 20-day EMA (purple)
- 50-day EMA (blue)
Key assist ranges:
IG CLIENT SENTIMENT DATA: BEARISH
IGCS reveals retail merchants are at present LONG on AUD/USD, with 65% of merchants at present holding lengthy positions. At DailyFX we usually take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment leading to a short-term bearish disposition.
Contact and comply with Warren on Twitter: @WVenketas