Wait and See Method for USD/ZAR Forward of NFP

Wait and See Method for USD/ZAR Forward of NFP

Table of Contents


RAND TALKING POINTS

  • Commodity costs buoying rand.
  • ZAR stays secure awaiting NFP stimulus.

USD/ZAR FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP

The South African randheld up in opposition to the buck after world markets feared U.S. Home Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s go to to Taiwan would spark a grander response from China. Though army drills and Chinese language exports to Taiwan got here below risk, the anticipated magnitude was better than actuality. Coinciding with this geopolitical occasion, Fed audio system turned surprisingly hawkish stating that tackling inflation stays on the forefront of their agenda. This was adopted by a muted response by markets who left fee hike pricing comparatively unchanged.

Right now the rand is buying and selling marginally decrease in opposition to the U.S. dollar after yesterdays robust PMI knowledge from each South Africa and the U.S.. What might be supporting the ZAR might be the truth that China’s providers PMI knowledge beat expectations which might garner help for currencies from commodity exporting nations with shut ties to China merely based mostly on an upbeat print.

On the commodities entrance, iron ore is within the purple at this time however the remainder of the South African linked commodities are buying and selling largely increased. The combo of basic elements are mirrored in USD/ZAR worth motion as we await the focal financial knowledge concern for the week within the type of Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) – see financial calendar beneath.

USD/ZAR ECONOMIC CALENDAR

Supply: DailyFX Economic Calendar

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

USD/ZAR DAILY CHART

South African Rand Price Forecast: Wait and See Approach for USD/ZAR Ahead of NFP

Chart ready by Warren Venketas, IG

Technically, there’s not a lot happening echoing the shortage of basic catalysts at this time so I don’t count on a lot change all through the day. The Relative Strength Index (RSI)helps this notion with a learn roughly across the midpoint 50 space which favors neither bullish nor bearish momentum.

Resistance ranges:

Assist ranges:

Contact and comply with Warren on Twitter: @WVenketas





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